In 2023, Cyprus demonstrated remarkable resilience in the European real estate market, marking a 31% increase in property transactions—the highest in the EU. This contrasts sharply with other EU nations facing economic instability and market downturns. According to Eurostat data, 13 out of 16 EU countries saw a decline in housing transactions, with Luxembourg (-4.3%), Austria (-26.4%), and Finland (-24.5%) experiencing the steepest drops. Conversely, Cyprus's real estate market thrived due to heightened foreign demand, especially from Israel and Lebanon, driven by geopolitical uncertainties. This trend began in 2022, reflecting a broader, sustained interest in Cyprus's real estate sector.

Have a look at the data published by Eurostat.


Impact of COVID-19 and Geopolitical Factors on Cyprus Real Estate


The COVID-19 pandemic significantly influenced the European housing market, causing widespread declines in transactions due to lockdown measures. However, Cyprus experienced a robust rebound in 2021 and 2022, setting the stage for its exceptional performance in 2023. This resurgence can be attributed to several key factors:


  • Pandemic Recovery: The initial decline in housing transactions due to the pandemic was followed by a strong recovery. As lockdowns eased, demand surged, particularly in markets perceived as stable and safe. Cyprus, with its relatively low infection rates and effective management of the pandemic, became an attractive destination for property investments.
  • Geopolitical Instability: The geopolitical climate in neighbouring regions, especially in the Middle East, played a crucial role in driving demand for real estate in Cyprus. Uncertainty and instability in countries like Israel and Lebanon prompted many to seek safer and more stable environments.
  • Foreign Investment: The demand from foreign buyers significantly boosted the real estate market. Many sought properties in Cyprus not only as a safe haven but also as a long-term investment. The influx of foreign capital contributed to the sustained growth in property transactions, distinguishing Cyprus from other EU countries facing market declines.
  • Government Initiatives: Cyprus's government policies and initiatives to attract foreign investment further supported the real estate market. Incentives and streamlined processes for property purchases by foreign nationals made it easier and more appealing for investors to choose Cyprus.


Outlook for 2024


Looking ahead, the positive trend in Cyprus's real estate market is expected to continue into 2024. With increased interest from both local and foreign buyers, the market is poised for further growth. The availability of housing needs to be addressed to maintain competitive prices and cater to the rising demand. Overall, Cyprus's real estate market is set to remain robust, defying broader European trends and continuing to attract significant investment. This combination of pandemic recovery, geopolitical factors, and effective government policies has positioned Cyprus as a standout performer in the EU real estate market, ensuring its continued growth and resilience in the face of regional challenges.


How are rising housing costs affecting Cypriots


While foreign investors drive the market in an uptrend, locals feel the pressure of rising house prices and increase in interest rates. In February 2024, loan restructurings made up 45% of new lending for home purchases, highlighting financial strain on many Cypriots. Rising interest rates and inflated property prices, driven by higher costs of raw materials, energy, and overall inflation, exacerbate the situation. This financial squeeze is particularly concerning for local residents, who generally earn less and face higher taxes compared to their foreign counterparts.


Long term problems.


The long-term problem with the current trend in the Cyprus real estate market is that it can create significant economic disparities between foreign investors and local residents. As property prices and the cost of living rise due to increased demand from wealthy foreign buyers, locals may find it increasingly difficult to afford homes and maintain financial stability. Rising interest rates and inflation exacerbate this issue, leading to greater financial strain on Cypriots who generally have lower incomes and face higher taxes. This can result in long-term social and economic inequality, reduced homeownership rates among locals, and potential destabilization of the local economy.


As foreign investment and property prices soar brining in more population, the existing infrastructure—such as roads, public transport, utilities, and social services—struggles to keep up with increased demand. This can lead to congestion, inadequate public services, and strain on resources, impacting the quality of life for residents and hindering sustainable urban growth. Addressing these issues requires significant investment in infrastructure to support the expanding population and economic activity.

Jul 16, 2024